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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.69+2.91vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.69+4.73vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+6.04vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College0.86+5.71vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.69+5.09vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.78+3.88vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.49+0.56vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29-3.11vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.33-1.08vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72+0.08vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.67-6.97vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.49-1.28vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.01-7.27vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.16-5.51vs Predicted
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15Harvard University-0.82-0.87vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Yale University2.690.2%1st Place
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6.73Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.71Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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10.09Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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9.88Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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4.89Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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10.08Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.03Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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10.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.490.0%1st Place
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5.73Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.49Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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14.13Harvard University-0.820.0%1st Place
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13.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 19.3% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Griffin Lapham | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| William Wiegand | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 20.4% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Horne | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 6.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Jack Schwab | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 16.8% | 51.4% |
| Michael Morley | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 22.9% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.