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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.50vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-0.89+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.58-0.01vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94-0.56vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.01-0.20vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.10-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.7%1st Place
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3.39University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.44Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.1%1st Place
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4.8Syracuse University-2.010.0%1st Place
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4.88Penn State University-2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Turner | 65.1% | 23.6% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 7.9% | 23.2% | 22.1% | 22.3% | 17.6% | 6.9% |
| Jared Cohen | 13.4% | 25.2% | 26.8% | 21.1% | 10.9% | 2.6% |
| Jonah Nelson | 8.7% | 17.5% | 23.7% | 27.0% | 17.2% | 5.9% |
| Mary Morris | 2.3% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 28.5% | 39.8% |
| Bobby Dodge | 2.6% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 25.3% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.