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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.48vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.58+0.01vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-2.01+0.75vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.10-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.89-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.7%1st Place
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3.43Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.75Syracuse University-2.010.0%1st Place
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4.92Penn State University-2.100.0%1st Place
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3.41University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Turner | 66.1% | 22.7% | 8.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Nelson | 8.1% | 20.8% | 23.2% | 22.8% | 17.9% | 7.2% |
| Jared Cohen | 12.9% | 24.3% | 28.1% | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.8% |
| Mary Morris | 2.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 15.7% | 28.2% | 38.3% |
| Bobby Dodge | 1.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 24.4% | 46.4% |
| Abby Eckert | 8.6% | 19.6% | 23.1% | 25.2% | 18.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.