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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.71+9.62vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+6.20vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.45+3.94vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.12+4.33vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.79+4.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.70vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85-0.46vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.39+1.76vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03+1.27vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-2.84vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.73-5.88vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.82-3.04vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.49-5.71vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-5.00vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.14-2.68vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.81-4.12vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.72-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.62Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Pennsylvania2.425.9%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University2.457.3%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University2.125.9%1st Place
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9.63Cornell University1.794.9%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.5%1st Place
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6.54Brown University2.859.4%1st Place
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9.76Boston University1.395.1%1st Place
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10.27Bowdoin College2.033.9%1st Place
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7.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.8%1st Place
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5.12Yale University2.7315.3%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University1.825.0%1st Place
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7.29College of Charleston2.498.5%1st Place
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9.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.8%1st Place
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12.32University of Wisconsin1.142.0%1st Place
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11.88Old Dominion University1.812.8%1st Place
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13.29SUNY Maritime College0.721.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 15.3% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Will Murray | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 19.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 15.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.