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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02+0.84vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.63+0.44vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University2.38-0.20vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.69+1.77vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.81+0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.44+0.35vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.32+0.47vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University1.25-3.21vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame0.27-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of Wisconsin3.360.4%1st Place
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2.84University of Michigan3.020.2%1st Place
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3.44University of Minnesota2.630.2%1st Place
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3.8Northwestern University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.77Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
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6.56Ohio State University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Illinois0.440.0%1st Place
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8.47Michigan State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.79Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 35.2% | 26.9% | 17.4% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 24.1% | 22.5% | 21.9% | 16.5% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Burton | 16.8% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 10.9% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Farrell | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 8.8% |
| Sydney Rush | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 7.4% |
| Adam Flanders | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 14.9% |
| Peter Petersen VI | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 45.0% |
| Aras Karaitis | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 23.5% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.