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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94+2.47vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-0.51vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.89+0.35vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.10-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.58-2.91vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.01-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.1%1st Place
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1.49Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.6%1st Place
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3.35University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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4.83Penn State University-2.100.0%1st Place
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3.09University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.77Syracuse University-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Nelson | 9.0% | 17.7% | 23.8% | 23.5% | 18.5% | 7.5% |
| Cameron Turner | 64.9% | 23.9% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 9.1% | 20.7% | 24.3% | 23.7% | 16.7% | 5.5% |
| Bobby Dodge | 2.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 25.4% | 42.7% |
| Jared Cohen | 12.2% | 25.3% | 26.1% | 19.2% | 12.2% | 5.0% |
| Mary Morris | 2.5% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 16.1% | 27.0% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.