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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.50vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.89+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.58-0.99vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-2.01-1.20vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-2.10-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.6%1st Place
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3.46Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.8Syracuse University-2.010.0%1st Place
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4.89Penn State University-2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Turner | 64.5% | 24.2% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Nelson | 7.8% | 20.8% | 23.3% | 21.9% | 18.3% | 7.9% |
| Abby Eckert | 9.9% | 20.0% | 23.1% | 25.1% | 16.3% | 5.6% |
| Jared Cohen | 12.9% | 24.4% | 27.3% | 22.4% | 10.4% | 2.6% |
| Mary Morris | 2.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 15.2% | 29.0% | 39.2% |
| Bobby Dodge | 2.7% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 25.6% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.