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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.51vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.58+0.99vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.89-1.61vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.10-1.10vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.01-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.6%1st Place
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2.99University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.42Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.1%1st Place
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3.39University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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4.9Penn State University-2.100.0%1st Place
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4.78Syracuse University-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Turner | 63.6% | 24.5% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 12.4% | 28.2% | 25.3% | 19.5% | 11.0% | 3.6% |
| Jonah Nelson | 9.4% | 18.5% | 22.7% | 26.5% | 16.3% | 6.6% |
| Abby Eckert | 9.7% | 17.9% | 23.8% | 26.2% | 16.8% | 5.6% |
| Bobby Dodge | 2.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 27.9% | 44.1% |
| Mary Morris | 2.8% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 27.6% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.