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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.48vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-2.10+2.81vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.89+0.36vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94-0.56vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.01-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.58-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.6%1st Place
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4.81Penn State University-2.100.0%1st Place
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3.36University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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3.44Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.1%1st Place
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4.87Syracuse University-2.010.0%1st Place
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3.04University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Turner | 64.8% | 25.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Dodge | 2.2% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 27.1% | 41.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 10.0% | 18.7% | 24.4% | 25.2% | 15.5% | 6.2% |
| Jonah Nelson | 8.5% | 18.3% | 23.8% | 25.4% | 17.8% | 6.2% |
| Mary Morris | 1.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 26.7% | 43.5% |
| Jared Cohen | 12.6% | 25.7% | 26.1% | 19.9% | 12.6% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.