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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+5.01vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+6.91vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.75vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40+3.71vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+3.68vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.61+0.55vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.28+0.87vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.94+4.27vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.27+3.83vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.10-0.84vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.09-2.10vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.43-0.29vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.56-1.86vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy2.05-4.88vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California1.40-4.13vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.60-8.09vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-6.30vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.90-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Harvard University3.0512.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Miami2.326.8%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.5%1st Place
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7.71Georgetown University2.407.5%1st Place
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8.68University of Rhode Island2.785.4%1st Place
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6.55Stanford University2.6110.2%1st Place
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7.87Tulane University2.287.9%1st Place
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12.27Fordham University1.942.2%1st Place
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12.83Northwestern University1.272.1%1st Place
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9.16Jacksonville University2.105.7%1st Place
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8.9Boston College2.096.4%1st Place
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11.71Webb Institute1.432.9%1st Place
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11.14University of Hawaii1.563.5%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Military Academy2.055.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Southern California1.403.0%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Naval Academy2.605.9%1st Place
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10.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.783.6%1st Place
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12.92University of South Florida0.902.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Holthus | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.6% |
| Jake Weinstein | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 19.6% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% |
| Trey Summers | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
| James Paul | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Luke Harris | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.