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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+1.18vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.98-0.12vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+0.55vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.40-0.04vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-0.02-1.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.19-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Webb Institute1.540.4%1st Place
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3.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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2.88University of Rhode Island0.980.2%1st Place
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4.55SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.96Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.37Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 40.5% | 27.0% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Lewis Bragg | 16.6% | 20.7% | 21.1% | 19.5% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| kai rauch | 21.0% | 25.5% | 21.5% | 16.4% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Strein | 6.1% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 23.7% | 21.4% | 12.4% |
| Alec Wyers | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 25.7% | 20.1% |
| Michael Stewart | 8.3% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 21.2% | 10.8% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.