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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.98+1.90vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74+1.20vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.54-0.85vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-0.02+0.39vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-0.43vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.40-1.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.19-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of Rhode Island0.980.2%1st Place
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3.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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2.15Webb Institute1.540.4%1st Place
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4.39Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.57SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.93Syracuse University-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kai rauch | 23.6% | 22.6% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Lewis Bragg | 16.5% | 20.8% | 21.2% | 19.9% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Everett Botwinick | 39.2% | 28.5% | 18.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael Stewart | 6.4% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 20.6% | 21.9% | 9.2% |
| Brendan Strein | 6.5% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 21.5% | 21.3% | 13.4% |
| Alec Wyers | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 25.3% | 20.6% |
| Henry Jensen | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 19.0% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.