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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+1.21vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+2.48vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.98-0.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-0.77vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-0.02-0.58vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.40-1.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.19-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Webb Institute1.540.4%1st Place
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4.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.88University of Rhode Island0.980.2%1st Place
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3.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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4.42Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.93Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 39.6% | 26.5% | 16.8% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Strein | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 23.0% | 20.8% | 11.6% |
| kai rauch | 20.1% | 27.1% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Lewis Bragg | 18.2% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 1.9% |
| Michael Stewart | 6.9% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 21.0% | 11.5% |
| Alec Wyers | 5.4% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 25.8% | 20.2% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 18.7% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.