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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.98+1.83vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.54+0.17vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.40+1.92vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-0.73vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-0.02-0.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.19-0.06vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of Rhode Island0.980.2%1st Place
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2.17Webb Institute1.540.4%1st Place
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4.92Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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4.4Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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4.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kai rauch | 24.1% | 23.6% | 19.8% | 16.3% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Everett Botwinick | 38.3% | 29.0% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alec Wyers | 5.5% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 18.5% | 27.1% | 19.2% |
| Lewis Bragg | 16.4% | 18.2% | 22.9% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 1.9% |
| Michael Stewart | 6.3% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 11.9% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 54.4% |
| Brendan Strein | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 23.9% | 21.6% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.