← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.54+1.17vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74+1.25vs Predicted
-
3Hamilton College-0.02+1.37vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-0.40+0.98vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Military Academy-1.19+1.06vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island0.98-3.11vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-2.40vs Predicted
-
8Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17Webb Institute1.540.4%1st Place
-
3.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
-
4.37Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
-
4.98Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
-
6.06U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
-
2.89University of Rhode Island0.980.2%1st Place
-
4.6SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
-
7.68Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 39.2% | 26.8% | 19.7% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 16.5% | 18.4% | 22.5% | 19.8% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Stewart | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 21.9% | 19.6% | 10.3% | 0.9% |
| Alec Wyers | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 23.2% | 19.5% | 3.3% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 46.2% | 8.7% |
| kai rauch | 20.9% | 24.6% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 19.8% | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.9% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 8.2% | 85.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.