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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.98+0.84vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+1.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-0.75vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-0.02-0.61vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.40-1.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.19-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Webb Institute1.540.4%1st Place
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2.84University of Rhode Island0.980.2%1st Place
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4.58SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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4.39Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.91Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 40.0% | 25.3% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| kai rauch | 21.2% | 27.3% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 22.5% | 20.7% | 13.8% |
| Lewis Bragg | 17.8% | 17.2% | 23.6% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 1.5% |
| Michael Stewart | 6.6% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 11.1% |
| Alec Wyers | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 24.8% | 20.3% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 19.2% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.