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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+1.19vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+2.52vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-0.02+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.98-1.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-1.19+0.97vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.40-1.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Webb Institute1.540.4%1st Place
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4.52SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.37Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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2.91University of Rhode Island0.980.2%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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4.93Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 40.0% | 25.5% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Strein | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 23.4% | 11.6% |
| Michael Stewart | 7.3% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 21.9% | 20.3% | 10.0% |
| kai rauch | 20.3% | 24.4% | 22.5% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Henry Jensen | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 55.8% |
| Alec Wyers | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 26.5% | 19.9% |
| Lewis Bragg | 18.6% | 21.7% | 19.1% | 20.6% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.