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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.77+0.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+1.36vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College0.40+0.12vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.01+1.25vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.67-1.41vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64Webb Institute1.770.6%1st Place
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3.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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3.12Hamilton College0.400.1%1st Place
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4.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
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4.59Syracuse University-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.56SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Schmid | 58.8% | 25.2% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 11.9% | 20.8% | 21.5% | 21.7% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Ethan Stone | 12.7% | 26.6% | 24.9% | 17.0% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Magill | 4.8% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 23.7% | 22.7% | 8.4% |
| Gil Hankinson | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 15.7% | 65.1% |
| Maren Behnke | 5.3% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 19.7% | 22.4% | 13.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 22.9% | 24.9% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.