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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.77+0.63vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College0.40+1.06vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.46vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.67+0.66vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-1.61vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.01+0.25vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63Webb Institute1.770.6%1st Place
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3.06Hamilton College0.400.1%1st Place
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4.46SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.66Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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3.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
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4.56SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Schmid | 59.5% | 24.1% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stone | 14.4% | 25.6% | 24.0% | 18.9% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Magill | 5.2% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 19.5% | 21.3% | 22.8% | 8.7% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.6% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 24.0% | 12.4% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 10.7% | 21.1% | 23.5% | 20.9% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Gil Hankinson | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 16.9% | 64.4% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 5.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 23.4% | 23.8% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.