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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.12vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+5.47vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+5.32vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.82+4.87vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.91+1.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.56vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.36vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.49-0.57vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71+1.63vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-2.64vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39-1.22vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.79-2.41vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-3.89vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.70-0.50vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.59-4.81vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.72-2.70vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.03-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Yale University2.7314.4%1st Place
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7.47Roger Williams University2.408.0%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University2.126.2%1st Place
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8.87George Washington University1.825.0%1st Place
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6.2Brown University2.919.7%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.2%1st Place
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8.36University of Pennsylvania2.425.1%1st Place
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7.43College of Charleston2.497.6%1st Place
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10.63Northeastern University1.713.4%1st Place
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7.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.0%1st Place
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9.78Boston University1.395.0%1st Place
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9.59Cornell University1.794.0%1st Place
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9.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.5%1st Place
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13.5University of Wisconsin0.701.1%1st Place
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10.19Old Dominion University1.593.8%1st Place
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13.3SUNY Maritime College0.721.7%1st Place
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10.22Bowdoin College2.034.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 14.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Will Murray | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 32.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 17.3% | 29.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.