← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
George Kutschenreuter 38.9% 27.7% 16.3% 9.8% 4.3% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Allison Prange 8.5% 8.7% 11.6% 16.6% 19.5% 14.6% 10.9% 6.2% 2.7% 0.7%
Ryan Seago 26.7% 25.1% 21.4% 14.3% 8.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Cornew 12.5% 18.1% 19.8% 20.5% 13.2% 8.5% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Patrick Farrell 2.9% 4.3% 6.3% 7.4% 8.6% 13.2% 14.3% 18.2% 15.2% 9.6%
Peter Petersen VI 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 2.1% 4.8% 5.9% 8.3% 11.4% 18.1% 44.7%
Sydney Rush 2.4% 3.2% 5.4% 8.7% 9.5% 16.0% 17.0% 17.1% 14.1% 6.6%
Adam Flanders 1.9% 2.7% 4.1% 6.0% 8.8% 11.4% 14.5% 15.7% 18.9% 16.0%
Jeffrey Miller 1.6% 2.0% 3.9% 3.4% 8.3% 9.5% 11.2% 17.6% 22.8% 19.7%
Aras Karaitis 3.7% 6.3% 9.3% 11.2% 14.7% 16.4% 16.8% 11.3% 7.6% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.