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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+1.73vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.77-0.56vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.64vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.50+0.92vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.01+0.55vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-2.46+0.01vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.67-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.2%1st Place
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1.44Webb Institute1.770.7%1st Place
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3.64SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.92SUNY Stony Brook-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
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6.01Hamilton College-2.460.0%1st Place
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3.7Syracuse University-0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lawrence | 15.6% | 33.7% | 25.2% | 16.3% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Calvin Schmid | 67.7% | 23.0% | 7.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 7.4% | 15.0% | 24.7% | 24.7% | 17.3% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Isabel Steinmetz | 1.7% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 27.0% | 26.3% | 13.6% |
| Gil Hankinson | 0.9% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 18.3% | 29.2% | 31.6% |
| Allen Underwood III | 0.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 25.2% | 49.5% |
| Maren Behnke | 6.1% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 26.7% | 18.4% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.