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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+1.73vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.77-0.57vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.64vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.67-0.19vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.50-0.07vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.01-0.48vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-2.46-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.2%1st Place
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1.43Webb Institute1.770.7%1st Place
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3.64SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.81Syracuse University-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.93SUNY Stony Brook-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
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5.94Hamilton College-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lawrence | 15.7% | 34.2% | 24.3% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Calvin Schmid | 68.3% | 22.3% | 7.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 6.8% | 14.3% | 27.8% | 23.4% | 16.9% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Maren Behnke | 5.1% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 23.0% | 21.0% | 11.0% | 2.4% |
| Isabel Steinmetz | 2.0% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 26.8% | 23.9% | 15.3% |
| Gil Hankinson | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 30.5% | 29.6% |
| Allen Underwood III | 0.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 24.6% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.