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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.77+0.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+0.76vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.68vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.67-0.12vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.50-0.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.01-0.33vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-2.46-0.71vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-3.50-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Webb Institute1.770.7%1st Place
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2.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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3.68SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.88Syracuse University-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.98SUNY Stony Brook-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
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6.29Hamilton College-2.460.0%1st Place
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7.28Stevens Institute of Technology-3.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Schmid | 66.4% | 24.3% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 14.4% | 33.7% | 25.1% | 17.3% | 7.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 7.3% | 15.9% | 24.3% | 22.3% | 18.1% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Maren Behnke | 6.0% | 14.0% | 21.7% | 23.3% | 19.9% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Isabel Steinmetz | 2.7% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 22.4% | 25.6% | 14.3% | 2.8% |
| Gil Hankinson | 1.6% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 19.6% | 24.3% | 24.8% | 10.5% |
| Allen Underwood III | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 22.1% | 32.0% | 23.0% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 21.3% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.