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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+2.25vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.77-0.35vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.31vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.67+0.50vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-3.07+0.71vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.40-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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1.65Webb Institute1.770.6%1st Place
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4.31SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.5Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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4.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
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2.96Hamilton College0.400.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lawrence | 12.4% | 23.0% | 23.6% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| Calvin Schmid | 56.7% | 27.6% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 5.8% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 22.0% | 22.3% | 24.2% | 2.9% |
| Maren Behnke | 4.0% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 23.7% | 28.4% | 4.6% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 4.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 25.4% | 27.9% | 6.0% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 85.2% |
| Ethan Stone | 16.7% | 24.4% | 24.2% | 20.5% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.