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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.40+1.97vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.77-0.37vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.67+1.48vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-0.64vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.63vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.45vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-3.07-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Hamilton College0.400.2%1st Place
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1.63Webb Institute1.770.6%1st Place
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4.48Syracuse University-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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4.37SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.55SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Stone | 16.5% | 26.9% | 22.6% | 17.7% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 0.3% |
| Calvin Schmid | 57.1% | 28.3% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 5.6% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 24.7% | 26.1% | 5.2% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 11.6% | 19.1% | 23.9% | 21.4% | 15.7% | 7.7% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Magill | 5.0% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 22.0% | 23.6% | 5.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.8% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 23.2% | 28.6% | 5.5% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 8.1% | 83.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.