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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.51+2.57vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University-0.41+1.46vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79-1.35vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-0.45vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.23-1.83vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-1.12-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23The Citadel1.110.4%1st Place
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4.57University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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4.46Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
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2.65Clemson University0.790.3%1st Place
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4.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.17North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.36The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 38.8% | 26.7% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 20.1% | 15.9% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 15.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 27.0% | 26.3% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Polk Baggett | 6.1% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 17.2% |
| Will Finch | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 11.3% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 20.5% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.