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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina-0.51+3.52vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+0.65vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University-0.41+1.45vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.11-1.73vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.23-0.77vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-1.52vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-1.12-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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2.65Clemson University0.790.3%1st Place
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4.45Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
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2.27The Citadel1.110.4%1st Place
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4.23North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.39The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 21.4% | 16.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 26.9% | 27.1% | 19.8% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 8.7% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 15.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 37.3% | 25.8% | 17.7% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Will Finch | 7.5% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 11.3% |
| Polk Baggett | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 16.2% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 19.7% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.