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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Embry-Riddle University-0.41+3.39vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.23+2.17vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.79-0.37vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.11-1.74vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-1.12+0.56vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-1.50vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.51-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.17North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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2.63Clemson University0.790.3%1st Place
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2.26The Citadel1.110.4%1st Place
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5.56The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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4.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.5University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zechariah Frantz | 8.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 14.9% |
| Will Finch | 8.6% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 10.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 26.5% | 25.8% | 23.0% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 38.2% | 25.6% | 18.3% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 43.9% |
| Polk Baggett | 6.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 15.2% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 22.9% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.