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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43+3.41vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+0.64vs Predicted
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3The Citadel1.11-0.80vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.23+0.23vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.41-0.51vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.51-1.38vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-1.12-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.1%1st Place
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2.64Clemson University0.790.3%1st Place
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2.2The Citadel1.110.4%1st Place
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4.23North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.49Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.62University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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5.41The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polk Baggett | 8.7% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 14.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 26.3% | 27.1% | 21.3% | 13.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Gregory Walters | 38.4% | 28.6% | 16.9% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Will Finch | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 10.8% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 7.4% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 15.4% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 18.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 20.0% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.