Race 10B

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
George Kutschenreuter 39.3% 27.6% 17.3% 8.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sydney Rush 3.7% 3.6% 4.9% 7.6% 10.6% 14.8% 16.9% 16.4% 13.5% 8.0%
Michael Cornew 13.0% 16.6% 18.7% 19.8% 16.9% 8.8% 3.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Allison Prange 5.7% 10.4% 14.3% 17.4% 17.6% 15.0% 9.6% 5.9% 3.3% 0.8%
Ryan Seago 26.9% 27.6% 21.6% 13.1% 5.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Farrell 3.1% 4.1% 4.4% 7.1% 9.6% 13.6% 15.7% 16.9% 16.3% 9.2%
Adam Flanders 1.4% 1.8% 4.1% 6.1% 8.3% 11.6% 14.7% 17.3% 20.0% 14.7%
Peter Petersen VI 0.9% 0.8% 1.9% 3.3% 4.3% 6.1% 8.4% 12.2% 17.0% 45.1%
Jeffrey Miller 1.5% 2.0% 3.9% 4.4% 6.7% 9.7% 13.3% 16.4% 22.6% 19.5%
Aras Karaitis 4.5% 5.5% 8.9% 12.4% 15.6% 15.5% 15.6% 12.5% 6.8% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.