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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.79+1.64vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.11+0.23vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43+1.48vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.23+0.20vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-1.12+0.51vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.41-1.56vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.51-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Clemson University0.790.3%1st Place
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2.23The Citadel1.110.4%1st Place
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4.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.2North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.51The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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4.44Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.49University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 28.7% | 24.8% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 35.9% | 31.0% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Polk Baggett | 7.9% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 15.1% |
| Will Finch | 8.6% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 10.1% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 42.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 7.3% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 16.2% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 21.1% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.