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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+1.24vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.51+1.62vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-1.12+1.55vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.41-0.51vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.23-1.86vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24The Citadel1.110.4%1st Place
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2.61Clemson University0.790.3%1st Place
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4.62University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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5.55The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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4.49Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.14North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.35University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 38.6% | 26.4% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 26.6% | 27.8% | 20.2% | 14.7% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 6.5% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 17.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 20.7% | 42.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 15.2% |
| Will Finch | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 10.7% |
| Polk Baggett | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.