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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel-0.68+2.30vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.40+0.06vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.26-0.82vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-1.00-0.34vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-2.03-0.09vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
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2.06The Citadel0.400.4%1st Place
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2.18Clemson University0.260.3%1st Place
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3.66North Carolina State University-1.000.1%1st Place
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4.91Embry-Riddle University-2.030.0%1st Place
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4.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Parker | 12.6% | 17.4% | 25.1% | 23.4% | 15.5% | 6.0% |
| Noah Frank | 39.7% | 30.0% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Rowan Barnes | 34.3% | 30.7% | 20.7% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jake Montjoy | 8.6% | 12.1% | 21.7% | 28.1% | 21.7% | 7.8% |
| Venesh Pershaud | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 29.6% | 42.7% |
| Zach Lewis | 2.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 14.3% | 28.4% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.