← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1The Citadel0.40+1.08vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.26+0.17vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel-0.68+0.25vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-1.00-0.32vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-0.12vs Predicted
-
6Embry-Riddle University-2.03-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08The Citadel0.400.4%1st Place
-
2.17Clemson University0.260.4%1st Place
-
3.25The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
-
3.68North Carolina State University-1.000.1%1st Place
-
4.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
-
4.94Embry-Riddle University-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Frank | 36.9% | 32.6% | 19.7% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Rowan Barnes | 37.0% | 28.0% | 20.5% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Henry Parker | 13.2% | 16.9% | 24.8% | 25.4% | 15.7% | 4.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 8.2% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 30.3% | 20.4% | 8.5% |
| Zach Lewis | 2.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 30.7% | 41.4% |
| Venesh Pershaud | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 27.7% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.