← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1The Citadel-0.68+2.29vs Predicted
-
2The Citadel0.40+0.06vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University0.26-0.82vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-1.00-0.35vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-0.12vs Predicted
-
6Embry-Riddle University-2.03-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.29The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
-
2.06The Citadel0.400.4%1st Place
-
2.18Clemson University0.260.3%1st Place
-
3.65North Carolina State University-1.000.1%1st Place
-
4.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
-
4.94Embry-Riddle University-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Parker | 12.3% | 17.7% | 25.2% | 23.6% | 15.4% | 5.8% |
| Noah Frank | 39.8% | 29.9% | 17.9% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Rowan Barnes | 34.5% | 30.8% | 20.5% | 11.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Jake Montjoy | 8.5% | 12.4% | 21.4% | 28.6% | 21.2% | 7.9% |
| Zach Lewis | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 30.9% | 40.8% |
| Venesh Pershaud | 2.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 27.7% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.