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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.40+1.06vs Predicted
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2The Citadel-0.68+1.25vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-1.00+0.65vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+0.85vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.26-2.71vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-2.03-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06The Citadel0.400.4%1st Place
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3.25The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.65North Carolina State University-1.000.1%1st Place
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4.85University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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2.29Clemson University0.260.3%1st Place
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4.9Embry-Riddle University-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Frank | 39.6% | 30.9% | 17.2% | 9.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Henry Parker | 12.8% | 17.9% | 25.2% | 24.8% | 14.2% | 5.1% |
| Jake Montjoy | 9.7% | 12.4% | 20.2% | 26.9% | 22.3% | 8.5% |
| Zach Lewis | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 15.2% | 29.4% | 40.3% |
| Rowan Barnes | 32.0% | 30.0% | 21.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Venesh Pershaud | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 27.6% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.