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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.40+1.06vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-1.00+1.62vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.68+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+0.84vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.26-2.72vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-2.03-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06The Citadel0.400.4%1st Place
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3.62North Carolina State University-1.000.1%1st Place
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3.29The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
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4.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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2.28Clemson University0.260.3%1st Place
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4.9Embry-Riddle University-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Frank | 39.7% | 29.6% | 18.6% | 9.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 9.3% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 26.5% | 20.9% | 9.2% |
| Henry Parker | 12.7% | 16.6% | 24.5% | 26.5% | 15.0% | 4.7% |
| Zach Lewis | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 29.6% | 40.3% |
| Rowan Barnes | 32.2% | 29.8% | 22.6% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Venesh Pershaud | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 13.2% | 28.2% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.