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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+6.56vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+6.26vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+2.15vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.41+4.03vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93+6.37vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+4.93vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75-0.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.57-0.18vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98+1.23vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.35-1.85vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-0.41vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.73-2.91vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.55-1.98vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.90vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.30-9.90vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.02-2.09vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California1.71-6.15vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.16-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Georgetown University2.426.9%1st Place
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8.26Boston College2.565.7%1st Place
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5.15Harvard University3.1815.2%1st Place
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8.03University of Hawaii2.415.8%1st Place
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11.37University of Miami1.932.8%1st Place
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10.93University of Rhode Island1.422.6%1st Place
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6.4Dartmouth College2.759.8%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Naval Academy2.576.6%1st Place
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10.23Fordham University1.983.9%1st Place
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8.15Tulane University2.357.0%1st Place
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10.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.8%1st Place
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9.09Webb Institute1.734.4%1st Place
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11.02Jacksonville University1.553.1%1st Place
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11.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.672.7%1st Place
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5.1Stanford University3.3015.2%1st Place
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13.91University of South Florida1.021.5%1st Place
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10.85University of Southern California1.712.8%1st Place
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15.44Northwestern University0.160.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 23.4% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Grace Bray | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.