Race 5A

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Robert Ziman 7.1% 10.6% 11.9% 14.0% 14.3% 14.3% 13.2% 7.7% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4%
Jonathan Kelly 3.9% 3.5% 4.7% 5.3% 9.1% 9.7% 11.0% 15.7% 15.3% 13.4% 8.4%
Jonathan Weed 17.9% 19.3% 19.4% 14.5% 12.2% 8.5% 4.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Welburn 34.8% 26.1% 17.3% 11.2% 6.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Asher Green 9.6% 9.8% 11.3% 12.3% 14.0% 12.9% 10.9% 9.5% 5.9% 3.2% 0.6%
Iain Shand 3.7% 4.6% 6.3% 7.1% 7.9% 12.4% 12.5% 14.2% 13.5% 12.0% 5.8%
Jedidiah Bechtel 13.8% 13.8% 14.3% 14.7% 13.0% 11.3% 9.5% 5.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Can Dilikoglu 4.3% 6.3% 6.5% 9.8% 10.7% 12.2% 13.8% 11.5% 12.8% 9.2% 2.9%
Bryan Lawrence 1.9% 2.6% 3.6% 3.9% 3.7% 6.5% 8.4% 12.3% 15.0% 21.6% 20.5%
Pearce Bragaw 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.9% 4.5% 6.0% 10.0% 12.1% 16.6% 39.3%
Patrick Cashin 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.7% 9.0% 10.2% 16.8% 20.9% 21.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.