Race 6A

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Welburn 35.2% 25.6% 16.3% 13.4% 6.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Weed 20.7% 20.0% 19.7% 13.1% 9.9% 10.0% 4.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jedidiah Bechtel 10.3% 12.1% 13.5% 15.1% 14.4% 13.5% 10.5% 5.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Jonathan Kelly 2.6% 4.0% 4.4% 5.3% 7.6% 7.9% 12.8% 16.5% 15.6% 14.8% 8.5%
Can Dilikoglu 5.0% 5.3% 7.0% 7.9% 10.9% 13.1% 12.2% 12.1% 13.1% 9.0% 4.4%
Bryan Lawrence 1.7% 2.4% 2.7% 4.9% 4.5% 6.0% 10.1% 12.1% 16.1% 18.9% 20.6%
Robert Ziman 10.0% 12.5% 13.4% 12.4% 13.7% 14.1% 9.6% 7.6% 3.7% 2.6% 0.4%
Pearce Bragaw 1.4% 2.0% 1.1% 2.6% 3.4% 4.7% 5.8% 10.6% 13.7% 18.9% 35.8%
Asher Green 8.1% 9.2% 12.7% 12.1% 14.0% 13.4% 10.9% 9.4% 6.0% 3.1% 1.1%
Patrick Cashin 1.3% 2.3% 2.6% 3.3% 6.1% 5.7% 9.3% 10.1% 15.3% 19.1% 24.9%
Iain Shand 3.7% 4.6% 6.6% 9.9% 9.4% 9.4% 13.8% 14.5% 12.5% 11.6% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.