Race 7A

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Asher Green 6.8% 8.1% 11.5% 14.3% 14.2% 14.5% 13.3% 9.5% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8%
Jonathan Kelly 3.5% 3.8% 5.1% 6.3% 7.4% 10.3% 11.8% 15.5% 15.4% 13.7% 7.2%
Robert Ziman 9.3% 8.0% 10.8% 14.9% 14.2% 13.4% 12.2% 8.9% 5.0% 2.9% 0.4%
Jack Welburn 34.0% 25.8% 18.3% 10.0% 6.4% 3.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Can Dilikoglu 4.7% 6.5% 7.0% 7.6% 11.0% 11.9% 12.7% 13.1% 12.5% 9.0% 4.0%
Bryan Lawrence 2.2% 1.8% 3.1% 5.2% 4.4% 6.6% 8.8% 11.5% 16.7% 19.8% 19.9%
Patrick Cashin 1.5% 3.8% 2.7% 3.6% 3.5% 7.0% 6.8% 11.7% 16.3% 19.5% 23.6%
Iain Shand 3.6% 5.0% 6.5% 7.7% 10.1% 11.0% 12.9% 13.8% 13.8% 10.6% 5.0%
Pearce Bragaw 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 2.8% 3.8% 6.3% 8.5% 11.7% 20.2% 39.1%
Jedidiah Bechtel 12.0% 13.6% 16.2% 12.4% 14.6% 12.3% 9.0% 5.3% 2.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Jonathan Weed 21.2% 22.1% 16.2% 15.7% 11.4% 5.6% 5.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.