Race 8A

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Welburn 35.0% 23.2% 20.3% 12.7% 5.6% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Weed 20.3% 20.7% 18.3% 14.6% 10.3% 8.7% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Can Dilikoglu 4.3% 4.3% 7.4% 7.4% 9.2% 11.9% 14.3% 14.9% 12.7% 9.5% 4.1%
Iain Shand 2.9% 4.3% 5.7% 6.1% 9.3% 10.8% 14.5% 13.9% 13.9% 11.8% 6.8%
Asher Green 8.7% 10.2% 11.0% 13.3% 14.3% 13.1% 11.7% 8.0% 6.4% 2.5% 0.8%
Jedidiah Bechtel 10.8% 14.1% 13.8% 15.1% 15.4% 11.3% 7.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
Bryan Lawrence 2.1% 3.5% 3.1% 3.4% 5.7% 7.3% 8.8% 12.0% 16.7% 20.6% 16.8%
Patrick Cashin 2.6% 1.4% 2.1% 3.4% 4.7% 7.3% 8.3% 11.6% 13.4% 20.2% 25.0%
Jonathan Kelly 3.4% 4.5% 3.9% 6.2% 8.7% 8.9% 12.2% 15.1% 16.2% 12.1% 8.8%
Pearce Bragaw 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 3.4% 3.2% 5.4% 6.6% 7.8% 12.6% 20.0% 36.6%
Robert Ziman 8.9% 12.1% 12.7% 14.4% 13.6% 13.3% 10.4% 7.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.