Race 9A

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Welburn 34.6% 27.4% 18.1% 10.5% 5.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Ziman 9.3% 10.1% 12.3% 14.8% 14.0% 11.4% 10.7% 9.7% 5.0% 2.3% 0.4%
Asher Green 8.1% 9.1% 9.6% 13.0% 13.0% 14.4% 13.0% 9.6% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8%
Jonathan Weed 19.2% 18.3% 18.4% 15.1% 14.2% 7.2% 4.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Jedidiah Bechtel 12.0% 14.0% 13.1% 15.3% 12.4% 11.9% 10.0% 5.8% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Iain Shand 3.4% 4.6% 6.3% 7.0% 8.5% 11.0% 13.5% 14.1% 13.5% 11.4% 6.7%
Bryan Lawrence 2.2% 3.9% 3.0% 3.1% 4.8% 7.5% 9.5% 12.4% 15.7% 20.4% 17.5%
Jonathan Kelly 3.5% 3.1% 5.8% 7.2% 8.5% 11.4% 11.2% 13.6% 14.3% 14.0% 7.4%
Pearce Bragaw 1.5% 1.8% 2.4% 2.0% 2.7% 3.9% 5.5% 9.2% 11.4% 19.6% 40.0%
Can Dilikoglu 4.8% 5.9% 7.4% 8.4% 11.1% 12.9% 13.0% 13.0% 11.7% 8.0% 3.8%
Patrick Cashin 1.4% 1.8% 3.6% 3.6% 5.3% 5.6% 8.3% 10.6% 16.6% 20.1% 23.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.