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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.22+1.21vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.89+2.50vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.75+1.83vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.84vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81-0.29vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.61+1.77vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.70-2.17vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.25-1.05vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.11-2.39vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-1.84-0.09vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-2.07-0.62vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.13-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21U. S. Naval Academy2.220.4%1st Place
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4.5George Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
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4.83U. S. Naval Academy0.750.1%1st Place
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4.84St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.71Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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7.77Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.83Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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6.95Drexel University-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.61Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.91St. John's College-1.840.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
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10.46Monmouth University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Kelly | 41.5% | 26.0% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 9.3% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Hatt | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 10.5% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hartley Meyer | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 9.4% | 2.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Elliott | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Kaleth Cushman | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 22.9% | 26.3% | 23.5% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 29.5% | 34.5% |
| Daniel Dickson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 16.9% | 25.8% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.