Race 2B

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tanner Kelly 41.7% 25.4% 15.2% 9.6% 3.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonah Hatt 8.3% 12.5% 13.0% 12.3% 13.9% 13.1% 11.5% 8.7% 4.2% 2.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Cho-Cho Williams 10.3% 10.6% 12.6% 10.9% 15.2% 11.5% 13.6% 8.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 8.3% 12.6% 14.2% 13.1% 13.3% 13.9% 10.1% 8.3% 3.9% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Tryg van Wyk 11.1% 13.0% 13.1% 14.4% 13.3% 11.3% 10.0% 6.9% 4.9% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Richard Kertatos 3.9% 4.8% 6.0% 8.1% 8.4% 9.7% 13.5% 15.6% 16.4% 8.8% 4.0% 0.8%
Kieran Elliott 4.0% 4.2% 5.4% 6.9% 8.6% 9.7% 10.4% 17.1% 17.0% 10.2% 5.3% 1.2%
Hartley Meyer 2.4% 3.8% 3.5% 5.3% 5.9% 7.3% 10.0% 12.2% 19.3% 18.8% 8.1% 3.4%
Ossian Kamal 8.1% 10.8% 14.0% 15.9% 12.3% 13.2% 11.4% 7.8% 4.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Tamryn Whyte 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 3.7% 7.8% 15.6% 28.7% 34.3%
Henry Stockman 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 1.6% 2.8% 3.7% 7.6% 9.7% 23.3% 26.1% 20.3%
Daniel Dickson 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 3.3% 7.3% 13.5% 27.1% 39.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.