Race 3B

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tanner Kelly 38.6% 25.9% 18.1% 9.0% 5.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 9.1% 12.9% 14.0% 12.1% 12.5% 11.8% 11.7% 8.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.3%
David Berson 2.0% 3.0% 2.7% 4.8% 4.7% 6.5% 7.5% 12.5% 18.2% 26.4% 11.7%
Tryg van Wyk 9.8% 10.2% 13.7% 14.0% 15.6% 12.4% 9.8% 8.4% 4.0% 1.7% 0.4%
Richard Kertatos 4.4% 5.3% 5.7% 6.5% 9.5% 10.8% 9.9% 15.9% 15.7% 13.0% 3.3%
Cho-Cho Williams 9.6% 10.5% 12.1% 13.3% 14.2% 12.9% 10.2% 8.6% 5.3% 2.8% 0.5%
Jonah Hatt 11.0% 11.5% 12.9% 14.8% 10.8% 12.1% 11.9% 6.9% 5.1% 2.6% 0.4%
Hartley Meyer 2.7% 2.6% 3.3% 5.3% 6.7% 7.1% 10.7% 14.3% 15.7% 21.8% 9.8%
Kieran Elliott 3.1% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 6.4% 8.5% 13.8% 14.2% 16.5% 15.1% 6.6%
Daniel Dickson 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 3.0% 2.8% 8.3% 12.5% 66.7%
Ossian Kamal 9.1% 13.2% 11.6% 13.0% 12.9% 13.7% 10.4% 8.1% 5.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.