Race 4B

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stefano Palamara 9.8% 11.4% 10.8% 13.5% 14.8% 12.2% 10.5% 9.5% 4.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Tanner Kelly 39.4% 27.3% 14.5% 9.1% 5.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonah Hatt 9.4% 11.0% 13.2% 10.0% 12.8% 12.8% 11.8% 10.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 8.5% 11.0% 13.2% 14.6% 12.4% 12.6% 9.6% 9.3% 5.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Hartley Meyer 2.0% 2.9% 3.0% 5.7% 5.9% 6.3% 9.2% 11.0% 16.9% 19.3% 14.0% 3.8%
Kieran Elliott 3.2% 3.9% 5.6% 7.2% 5.7% 8.7% 11.4% 13.6% 15.1% 15.6% 8.2% 1.8%
Tryg van Wyk 12.8% 11.6% 15.7% 12.7% 12.7% 10.5% 10.6% 6.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
David Berson 1.9% 3.3% 4.2% 4.9% 5.8% 6.0% 9.1% 10.6% 15.8% 19.7% 14.1% 4.6%
Richard Kertatos 3.3% 4.6% 5.7% 7.8% 10.3% 10.7% 11.6% 14.3% 13.9% 12.2% 4.9% 0.7%
Ossian Kamal 8.7% 11.2% 12.4% 12.8% 11.5% 13.7% 10.3% 9.5% 6.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Daniel Dickson 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 2.2% 2.2% 6.6% 9.6% 27.9% 46.0%
Alexander Macaulay 0.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 2.4% 3.2% 2.9% 4.7% 11.8% 28.0% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.