Race 5B

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cho-Cho Williams 7.8% 11.7% 12.5% 14.4% 14.5% 13.8% 11.8% 8.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Tanner Kelly 42.6% 24.9% 15.7% 9.4% 4.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ossian Kamal 8.2% 11.7% 12.0% 11.6% 13.1% 14.6% 12.1% 10.3% 4.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Tryg van Wyk 9.0% 12.8% 14.0% 14.3% 15.2% 13.3% 9.9% 6.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Hartley Meyer 2.8% 3.6% 3.9% 4.7% 5.5% 8.1% 11.0% 14.9% 26.8% 15.7% 3.0%
Stefano Palamara 9.8% 12.4% 13.6% 14.9% 14.4% 10.3% 11.7% 6.8% 4.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Kieran Elliott 4.8% 4.2% 5.8% 7.1% 9.3% 10.3% 12.5% 18.2% 17.2% 9.2% 1.4%
Jonah Hatt 9.9% 13.0% 14.0% 15.5% 12.0% 11.2% 11.4% 7.4% 4.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Richard Kertatos 4.0% 5.0% 7.0% 6.3% 9.0% 10.8% 14.2% 18.5% 16.2% 7.1% 1.9%
Daniel Dickson 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 3.1% 2.9% 4.4% 11.1% 34.8% 39.0%
Evan Walter 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 2.6% 1.8% 3.7% 7.4% 27.5% 54.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.