Race 6B

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tanner Kelly 40.5% 25.6% 16.8% 10.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ossian Kamal 9.2% 11.1% 11.8% 14.5% 14.8% 13.8% 11.9% 7.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.2%
Tryg van Wyk 10.0% 12.7% 13.6% 13.1% 14.8% 13.8% 11.2% 6.9% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Kieran Elliott 3.0% 4.2% 4.0% 7.7% 7.1% 8.2% 14.7% 20.2% 19.0% 10.4% 1.5%
Hartley Meyer 2.7% 3.6% 3.5% 3.9% 6.3% 10.7% 8.8% 14.9% 27.1% 15.2% 3.3%
Richard Kertatos 3.7% 5.1% 6.9% 7.4% 8.4% 11.1% 14.1% 17.8% 16.5% 7.5% 1.5%
Cho-Cho Williams 10.4% 13.9% 12.3% 15.0% 13.7% 12.3% 11.0% 6.3% 4.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Jonah Hatt 10.5% 11.6% 14.2% 14.0% 14.2% 12.2% 9.8% 7.6% 5.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 9.1% 11.7% 15.3% 12.7% 12.6% 12.8% 12.2% 8.8% 3.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Daniel Dickson 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 2.3% 2.0% 3.5% 6.3% 8.0% 36.3% 39.1%
Evan Walter 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.6% 2.2% 3.6% 9.9% 25.3% 54.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.