Race 7B

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tanner Kelly 40.4% 27.1% 16.5% 9.3% 4.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 9.6% 11.8% 13.7% 13.6% 14.8% 11.6% 12.1% 7.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 9.3% 10.4% 15.2% 12.4% 13.4% 14.6% 11.5% 7.9% 4.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Jonah Hatt 8.7% 10.4% 12.7% 14.8% 14.3% 12.3% 12.1% 9.2% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Ossian Kamal 10.1% 11.7% 12.8% 13.1% 13.6% 10.9% 11.9% 9.2% 4.6% 1.9% 0.2%
Tryg van Wyk 10.2% 15.2% 12.6% 16.5% 13.0% 11.5% 9.3% 7.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Kieran Elliott 4.6% 5.2% 4.6% 6.8% 8.3% 13.5% 12.8% 14.7% 17.6% 9.0% 2.9%
David Berson 2.9% 2.6% 4.2% 4.8% 6.2% 9.9% 11.3% 14.4% 18.4% 18.1% 7.2%
Robert Rubin 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 1.7% 2.8% 3.8% 4.4% 8.8% 15.1% 32.1% 26.3%
Daniel Dickson 0.5% 0.7% 0.3% 1.6% 2.3% 1.5% 3.6% 4.7% 9.0% 19.1% 56.7%
Hartley Meyer 2.6% 3.2% 5.2% 5.4% 6.9% 9.1% 10.4% 15.8% 20.1% 15.4% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.