Race 8B

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tanner Kelly 40.8% 26.5% 17.6% 8.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonah Hatt 10.3% 10.9% 14.3% 14.6% 13.4% 12.6% 12.0% 6.5% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Hartley Meyer 2.2% 3.1% 3.5% 4.4% 6.7% 6.6% 10.9% 16.4% 19.0% 17.8% 9.4%
Stefano Palamara 9.3% 10.5% 11.7% 15.1% 17.0% 14.1% 10.4% 6.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.0%
Kieran Elliott 3.8% 5.2% 4.9% 7.7% 7.9% 11.1% 13.0% 16.4% 15.8% 11.0% 3.2%
Cho-Cho Williams 9.4% 11.6% 12.9% 14.3% 13.3% 15.1% 9.8% 7.3% 4.7% 1.6% 0.0%
David Berson 2.9% 3.7% 3.7% 4.8% 6.2% 8.3% 11.5% 17.3% 18.9% 15.8% 6.9%
Ossian Kamal 9.6% 12.0% 14.9% 14.1% 12.0% 11.9% 11.8% 9.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Tryg van Wyk 9.9% 15.1% 14.0% 13.1% 13.1% 13.2% 10.5% 6.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
Robert Rubin 1.1% 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 4.0% 4.2% 6.0% 8.5% 17.3% 29.1% 25.0%
Daniel Dickson 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 2.2% 1.6% 3.8% 5.5% 10.0% 19.6% 54.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.